As a Conservative (and as someone who knows the area relatively well) I am concerned about the prospect of a by-election in Newark.
"Hard to overturn 16,000 majority" says George Eaton (New Statesman).
Big majorities do not always mean safe seats, especially when there is a personal vote involved.
The Conservatives took Ashfield from Labour in 1977 with a 20% swing (the Labour majority in the 1974 general election had been 22,000).
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