Saturday, August 29, 2015

The refugees, displaced people and asylum seekers of the world

Osmosis is the the movement of a weak solution to a strong solution through a semi-permiable membrane.

It is an elegant formula - the weak solution continues to flow through the membrane until the strong solution has been dilated to such an extent that there is no difference between the two.

We can adapt this principle to explain what is happening in terms of population movement between Europe and Asia, Africa and the Middle East.

The refugees / displaced people / asylum seekers from Asia, Africa and the Middle East will continue to flow through the semi-permeable borders of the EU until living conditions (in terms of food, safety, housing, education opportunities, employment opportunities etc) are equal.

It is not a case of "good" Germany taking 800,000 or 8 million or 80 million in one year then saying that's it, we've done our bit, now be grateful and stop mentioning the Second World War.

While there is a marginal difference between Asia / Africa / Middle East on the one hand and the EU on the other the flow will continue - indeed must continue, and continue at an escalating rate.

Therefore unless the movement is checked we can expect ALL the populations of Asia, Africa and the Middle East to attempt to enter the EU until either living conditions in Asia, Africa and the Middle East have been massively increased or living conditions in the EU have been massively reduced so that there is no difference between the two.

Given the current state of Syria is there any reason to believe that all the 22 million people of that country would not seek to enter the EU if they could?  And all the 30 million people in Afghanistan, 6 million people in Libya and 6 million people in Eritrea?  And all the populations of war-torn countries next year, and the year after, and the year after that?

That is why those commentators who are using emotional arguments about refugees, displaced people and asylum seekers are profoundly dishonest and, in the true sense of the word, abusive people.

They need to say at what point the borders should be closed and the flow stopped.  Or if they do not believe the borders should ever be closed and the flow ever stopped they need to be honest enough to say that also.  What we cannot have is the vague implication that the flow will stop of its own accord, because it will not.

And those commentators who believe in completely open borders need to be honest enough to explain what that will mean in terms of increased competition for finite resources (medical care, education places, housing) and the impact it is going to have on everyone's way of life in terms of social cohestion, commitment to democracy, respect for western society etc.

Because the inevitability of unchecked global osmosis means that our society is not going to stay the way it is now - we will be forced to share everything (everything note) we have with the refugees, displaced people and asylum seekers of the world, all of them, until either they become like us or we become like them.

This may well be a right and honourable path to follow, but can we please have the electorate informed of what is happening so that they can make a proper democratic choice without the emotional blackmail that is being peddled on programmes such as Dateline London.

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